PMC:7102659 / 10184-11761 JSONTXT

{"target":"https://pubannotation.org/docs/sourcedb/PMC/sourceid/7102659","sourcedb":"PMC","sourceid":"7102659","source_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/7102659","text":"Data analyses\nWe summarise the officially reported data from Wuhan, China in Figure 2 . There is an increasing trend of daily new confirmations and deaths. We argue that these data were heavily impacted by availability of medical supplies and health care workers.\nFigure 2 The daily number of (a) cases or (b) deaths, cumulative number of (c) cases or (d) deaths, and the percentage of (e) cases or (f) deaths, of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China. In panel (f), the 100% represents the count of deaths or cured cases.\nThe official data report was not available before January 15, 2020. We fill the missing data before that from several retrospective studies. Among them data in R. Li et al. (2020) are daily symptom onset records, while those in Liu et al. (2020) are daily confirmations. We notice that there is a delay of 14 days between symptom onset and laboratory confirmation of COVID-19 between the two datasets which are largely the same group of patients, see Figure 3 . Namely, if we put back data in R. Li et al. (2020) by 14 days, it largely matches data in Liu et al. (2020). Thus, we assume a proportion of daily cases (reporting rate) will be reported after 14 days since their infectiousness onset (which is generally no later than their symptom onset).\nFigure 3 Comparison between different sources of reported cases: official released data (NHCPRC, 2020) in red, data from Li et al. (denoted as NEJM) (Li et al., 2020) in green, from Liu et al. (denoted as GDCDC) (Liu et al., 2020) in blue, and from P. Wu et al. (denoted as Eurosurv) (P. Wu et al., 2020) in 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