PubMed:32176808 JSONTXT 37 Projects

Annnotations TAB TSV DIC JSON TextAE

Id Subject Object Predicate Lexical cue
T1 0-62 Sentence denotes Potential impact of seasonal forcing on a SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.
T2 63-257 Sentence denotes A novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) first detected in Wuhan, China, has spread rapidly since December 2019, causing more than 100,000 confirmed infections and 4000 fatalities (as of 10 March 2020).
T3 258-327 Sentence denotes The outbreak has been declared a pandemic by the WHO on Mar 11, 2020.
T4 328-425 Sentence denotes Here, we explore how seasonal variation in transmissibility could modulate a SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.
T5 426-625 Sentence denotes Data from routine diagnostics show a strong and consistent seasonal variation of the four endemic coronaviruses (229E, HKU1, NL63, OC43) and we parameterise our model for SARS-CoV-2 using these data.
T6 626-710 Sentence denotes The model allows for many subpopulations of different size with variable parameters.
T7 711-900 Sentence denotes Simulations of different scenarios show that plausible parameters result in a small peak in early 2020 in temperate regions of the Northern Hemisphere and a larger peak in winter 2020/2021.
T8 901-1013 Sentence denotes Variation in transmission and migration rates can result in substantial variation in prevalence between regions.
T9 1014-1274 Sentence denotes While the uncertainty in parameters is large, the scenarios we explore show that transient reductions in the incidence rate might be due to a combination of seasonal variation and infection control efforts but do not necessarily mean the epidemic is contained.
T10 1275-1393 Sentence denotes Seasonal forcing on SARS-CoV-2 should thus be taken into account in the further monitoring of the global transmission.
T11 1394-1664 Sentence denotes The likely aggregated effect of seasonal variation, infection control measures, and transmission rate variation is a prolonged pandemic wave with lower prevalence at any given time, thereby providing a window of opportunity for better preparation of health care systems.