PMC:7547104 / 6990-9886 JSONTXT 5 Projects

Annnotations TAB TSV DIC JSON TextAE

Id Subject Object Predicate Lexical cue
T41 0-41 Sentence denotes Regional effects of the national lockdown
T42 42-311 Sentence denotes Our approach successfully uncovers the regional effects of the national lockdown measures set in place by the Italian government initially in two northern regions (Lombardy and Veneto from the February 27, 2020), and then nationally from March 8, 2020 till May 4, 2020.
T43 312-659 Sentence denotes We observe that notable parameter changes, detected automatically by our parameterization procedure (see Methods), occur as an effect of such measures with a certain degree of homogeneity across all regions (see Supplementary Fig. 13 and Supplementary Table 4 showing the changes in the social distancing parameter ρi over the period of interest).
T44 660-853 Sentence denotes This confirms the effectiveness across the country of the strict social distancing rules implemented at the national level as also noted in previous work1,2,14 modelling the country as a whole.
T45 854-1070 Sentence denotes The representative examples of two regions, Lombardy in the North and Campania in the South, highlighted in Fig. 1, show that the model correctly captures the effect of such measures in both the regions, see Table 1.
T46 1071-1237 Sentence denotes The model also captures the effect of the flow of people that travelled from North to South when the national lockdown measures were first announced on March 8, 2020.
T47 1238-1456 Sentence denotes As shown in Table 1, the estimated number of infected predicted by the model for the Campania region in the time window March 19–March 30, 2020 is detected to suddenly increase at the beginning of the next time window.
T48 1457-1582 Sentence denotes This can be explained as a possible effect of the movement of people from North to South that occurred around 15 days before.
T49 1583-1788 Sentence denotes Also, data analysis shows that the mortality rate varies as a function of the level of occupancy of the hospital beds in each region (see Supplementary Fig. 14 and Supplementary Notes for further details).
T50 1789-1861 Sentence denotes Table 1 Estimated parameter values for Campania in the South (region no.
T51 1862-1902 Sentence denotes 6) and Lombardy in the North (region no.
T52 1903-1944 Sentence denotes 11), where the initial outbreak occurred.
T53 1945-2005 Sentence denotes Region Breakpoint ρi αi ψi κi H κi Q ηi Q ηi H ζi I0 If R0,i
T54 2006-2085 Sentence denotes Campania 19/3/20 0.467 0.014 0.064 0.000 0.100 0.018 0.000 0.022 1231 1816 1.26
T55 2086-2155 Sentence denotes 30/3/20 0.221 0.067 0.019 0.006 0.040 0.018 0.000 0.011 2231 234 0.57
T56 2156-2236 Sentence denotes Lombardy 27/2/20 0.727 0.009 0.092 0.000 0.040 0.010 0.053 0.033 1799 28900 1.69
T57 2237-2308 Sentence denotes 19/3/20 0.303 0.018 0.056 0.000 0.027 0.010 0.029 0.024 28900 6731 0.84
T58 2309-2368 Sentence denotes These regions are highlighted in a darker colour in Fig. 1.
T59 2369-2658 Sentence denotes Here, I0 is the number of infected estimated in the region at the beginning of each time window, while If is the number of infected at the end of each time window estimated by running the model (14)–(16), given the set of identified parameters and the initial condition on the infected I0.
T60 2659-2783 Sentence denotes The first breakpoint is the date when 10 deaths and 10 recovered were first reported in the region and the analysis started.
T61 2784-2896 Sentence denotes The second breakpoint is the end of the first window and the start of the second window (ending on May 3, 2020).