Id |
Subject |
Object |
Predicate |
Lexical cue |
T183 |
0-233 |
Sentence |
denotes |
To assess the potential for screening to delay introduction of undiagnosed cases, we evaluated the fraction of simulations in which screening during a growing epidemic would detect the first n or more infected travellers (Figure 3C). |
T184 |
234-527 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Depending on the screening strategy (arrival, departure or both) and assumed subclinical fraction (5%, 25%, or 50%), the probability of detecting at least the first two cases ranged from 0.02 to 0.11, and the probability of detecting three or more cases was never better than 0.04 (Figure 3C). |
T185 |
528-686 |
Sentence |
denotes |
In all tested scenarios, more than half of simulations failed to detect the first imported case, consistent with probabilities of case detection in Figure 3A. |
T186 |
687-1033 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Probabilities of detecting the first n consecutive cases were marginally higher in the stable epidemic context (Figure 3—figures supplement 1), but still the probability of detecting at least the first three cases was never better than 0.13, and the probability of detecting the first four cases was never better than 0.06 in any tested scenario. |
T187 |
1034-1228 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Taken together, these results indicate that screening in any context is very unlikely to delay case importation beyond the first 1–3 cases, and often will not delay the first importation at all. |
T188 |
1229-1316 |
Sentence |
denotes |
What duration of delay this yields will depend on the frequency of infected travellers. |