Id |
Subject |
Object |
Predicate |
Lexical cue |
T50 |
0-113 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Estimation of the epidemic trend assuming that the prevention and control measures are sufficient in Wuhan, China |
T51 |
114-164 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The first phase (1 December 2019–23 January 2020): |
T52 |
165-264 |
Sentence |
denotes |
It was the early phase of the epidemic when a few prevention and control measures were implemented. |
T53 |
265-368 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The number of infections in Wuhan, China reached 17,656–25,875 by the end of this phase with R0 as 3.1. |
T54 |
369-420 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The second phase (24 January 2020–2 February 2020): |
T55 |
421-547 |
Sentence |
denotes |
From 23 January 2020 on, public transportations to and from Wuhan, as well as public transportation within Wuhan were stopped. |
T56 |
548-657 |
Sentence |
denotes |
While gathering events inside Wuhan was banned, quarantine and isolation were gradually established in Wuhan. |
T57 |
658-749 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The number of infections was 32,061–46,905 by the end of this phase as Rt decreased to 2.6. |
T58 |
750-801 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The third phase (3 February 2020–15 February 2020): |
T59 |
802-979 |
Sentence |
denotes |
New infectious disease hospitals and mobile cabin hospitals came into service and many medical and public health teams from other provinces and cities in China arrived in Wuhan. |
T60 |
980-1054 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The quarantine and isolation at the community level were further enhanced. |
T61 |
1055-1149 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The number of infections would reach 53,070–77,390 if Rt could be reduced sequentially to 1.9. |
T62 |
1150-1194 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The fourth phase (from 15 February 2020 on): |
T63 |
1195-1295 |
Sentence |
denotes |
All of the most restrict public health measures may need a longest incubation period to take effect. |
T64 |
1296-1463 |
Sentence |
denotes |
If Rt could be gradually reduced to 0.9 or 0.5 in the fourth phase, the epidemic peaks and inflection points might occur in Wuhan, China on 23 February or 19 February. |
T65 |
1464-1570 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The number of infections would be 58,077–84,520 or 55,869–81,393 with Rt = 0.9 or 0.5, respectively (Figs. |
T66 |
1571-1580 |
Sentence |
denotes |
2 and 3). |
T67 |
1581-1703 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Fig. 2 Phase-adjusted estimation of the number of COVID-19 cases in Wuhan, China (1 December 2019–30 April 2020, E = 20I). |
T68 |
1704-2043 |
Sentence |
denotes |
In all, 55,869 represents the estimated peak number of COVID-19 cases on 19 February 2020 in Wuhan, China with R0 = 0.5; 58,077 represents the estimated peak number of COVID-19 cases on 23 February 2020 in Wuhan, China with R0 = 0.9; E: number of exposed cases; I: number of infectious cases; E was assumed to be 20 times of I at baseline. |
T69 |
2044-2166 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Fig. 3 Phase-adjusted estimation of the number of COVID-19 cases in Wuhan, China (1 December 2019–30 April 2020, E = 30I). |
T70 |
2167-2506 |
Sentence |
denotes |
In all, 81,393 represents the estimated peak number of COVID-19 cases on 19 February 2020 in Wuhan, China with R0 = 0.5; 84,520 represents the estimated peak number of COVID-19 cases on 23 February 2020 in Wuhan, China with R0 = 0.9; E: number of exposed cases; I: number of infectious cases; E was assumed to be 30 times of I at baseline. |
T71 |
2507-2682 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Our model predicted 2323–3381 deaths in Wuhan, China when we assumed Rt as 0.9 and the percent of deaths as 4%; 2235–3256 deaths when we assumed Rt as 0.5 at the fourth phase. |
T72 |
2683-2744 |
Sentence |
denotes |
An average of 2279–3318 deaths were also estimated (Table 1). |
T73 |
2745-2837 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Table 1 Estimating the number of deaths of COVID-19 cases in Wuhan, China (Rt = 0.9 or 0.5). |
T74 |
2838-2863 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Rt = 0.9 Rt = 0.5 Average |
T75 |
2864-2917 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Total cases 58,077–84,520 55,869–81,393 56,973–82,957 |
T76 |
2918-2959 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Deaths (4%) 2323–3381 2235–3256 2279–3318 |
T77 |
2960-3002 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Deaths (10%) 5808–8452 5587–8139 5697–8296 |
T78 |
3003-3054 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The estimated percent of deaths is about 4–10%6,24. |
T79 |
3055-3310 |
Sentence |
denotes |
When we assumed Rt as 0.9 and the percent of deaths 10% based on calculation of case fatality rate (CFR) at early stage of the epidemic6, our model predicted 5808–8452 deaths in Wuhan, China; 5587–8139 deaths when we assumed Rt as 0.5 at the fourth phase. |
T80 |
3311-3362 |
Sentence |
denotes |
An average of 5697–8296 deaths were also estimated. |