PMC:7039910 / 6400-10552 JSONTXT 6 Projects

Annnotations TAB TSV DIC JSON TextAE

Id Subject Object Predicate Lexical cue
T43 0-7 Sentence denotes Results
T44 9-124 Sentence denotes Estimation of the epidemic trend assuming that the prevention and control measures are insufficient in Wuhan, China
T45 125-275 Sentence denotes Assuming the epidemic continues to develop with R0 = 1.9, 2.6, and 3.19 from 1 December 2019, the number of infections will continue to rise (Fig. 1).
T46 276-415 Sentence denotes By the end of February 2020, COVID-19 cases would be 11,044, 70,258, and 227,989 in Wuhan, China with R0 = 1.9, 2.6, and 3.1, respectively.
T47 416-494 Sentence denotes Detailed calculation process is included in the Materials and methods section.
T48 495-615 Sentence denotes Fig. 1 Estimation of the number of COVID-19 cases in Wuhan, China (December 2019–February 2020, R0 = 1.9, 2.6, and 3.1).
T49 616-788 Sentence denotes In all, 11,044, 70,258, and 227,989 represent the estimated number of COVID-19 cases by the end of February 2020 in Wuhan, China, with R0 = 1.9, 2.6, and 3.1, respectively.
T50 790-903 Sentence denotes Estimation of the epidemic trend assuming that the prevention and control measures are sufficient in Wuhan, China
T51 904-954 Sentence denotes The first phase (1 December 2019–23 January 2020):
T52 955-1054 Sentence denotes It was the early phase of the epidemic when a few prevention and control measures were implemented.
T53 1055-1158 Sentence denotes The number of infections in Wuhan, China reached 17,656–25,875 by the end of this phase with R0 as 3.1.
T54 1159-1210 Sentence denotes The second phase (24 January 2020–2 February 2020):
T55 1211-1337 Sentence denotes From 23 January 2020 on, public transportations to and from Wuhan, as well as public transportation within Wuhan were stopped.
T56 1338-1447 Sentence denotes While gathering events inside Wuhan was banned, quarantine and isolation were gradually established in Wuhan.
T57 1448-1539 Sentence denotes The number of infections was 32,061–46,905 by the end of this phase as Rt decreased to 2.6.
T58 1540-1591 Sentence denotes The third phase (3 February 2020–15 February 2020):
T59 1592-1769 Sentence denotes New infectious disease hospitals and mobile cabin hospitals came into service and many medical and public health teams from other provinces and cities in China arrived in Wuhan.
T60 1770-1844 Sentence denotes The quarantine and isolation at the community level were further enhanced.
T61 1845-1939 Sentence denotes The number of infections would reach 53,070–77,390 if Rt could be reduced sequentially to 1.9.
T62 1940-1984 Sentence denotes The fourth phase (from 15 February 2020 on):
T63 1985-2085 Sentence denotes All of the most restrict public health measures may need a longest incubation period to take effect.
T64 2086-2253 Sentence denotes If Rt could be gradually reduced to 0.9 or 0.5 in the fourth phase, the epidemic peaks and inflection points might occur in Wuhan, China on 23 February or 19 February.
T65 2254-2360 Sentence denotes The number of infections would be 58,077–84,520 or 55,869–81,393 with Rt = 0.9 or 0.5, respectively (Figs.
T66 2361-2370 Sentence denotes 2 and 3).
T67 2371-2493 Sentence denotes Fig. 2 Phase-adjusted estimation of the number of COVID-19 cases in Wuhan, China (1 December 2019–30 April 2020, E = 20I).
T68 2494-2833 Sentence denotes In all, 55,869 represents the estimated peak number of COVID-19 cases on 19 February 2020 in Wuhan, China with R0 = 0.5; 58,077 represents the estimated peak number of COVID-19 cases on 23 February 2020 in Wuhan, China with R0 = 0.9; E: number of exposed cases; I: number of infectious cases; E was assumed to be 20 times of I at baseline.
T69 2834-2956 Sentence denotes Fig. 3 Phase-adjusted estimation of the number of COVID-19 cases in Wuhan, China (1 December 2019–30 April 2020, E = 30I).
T70 2957-3296 Sentence denotes In all, 81,393 represents the estimated peak number of COVID-19 cases on 19 February 2020 in Wuhan, China with R0 = 0.5; 84,520 represents the estimated peak number of COVID-19 cases on 23 February 2020 in Wuhan, China with R0 = 0.9; E: number of exposed cases; I: number of infectious cases; E was assumed to be 30 times of I at baseline.
T71 3297-3472 Sentence denotes Our model predicted 2323–3381 deaths in Wuhan, China when we assumed Rt as 0.9 and the percent of deaths as 4%; 2235–3256 deaths when we assumed Rt as 0.5 at the fourth phase.
T72 3473-3534 Sentence denotes An average of 2279–3318 deaths were also estimated (Table 1).
T73 3535-3627 Sentence denotes Table 1 Estimating the number of deaths of COVID-19 cases in Wuhan, China (Rt = 0.9 or 0.5).
T74 3628-3653 Sentence denotes Rt = 0.9 Rt = 0.5 Average
T75 3654-3707 Sentence denotes Total cases 58,077–84,520 55,869–81,393 56,973–82,957
T76 3708-3749 Sentence denotes Deaths (4%) 2323–3381 2235–3256 2279–3318
T77 3750-3792 Sentence denotes Deaths (10%) 5808–8452 5587–8139 5697–8296
T78 3793-3844 Sentence denotes The estimated percent of deaths is about 4–10%6,24.
T79 3845-4100 Sentence denotes When we assumed Rt as 0.9 and the percent of deaths 10% based on calculation of case fatality rate (CFR) at early stage of the epidemic6, our model predicted 5808–8452 deaths in Wuhan, China; 5587–8139 deaths when we assumed Rt as 0.5 at the fourth phase.
T80 4101-4152 Sentence denotes An average of 5697–8296 deaths were also estimated.