Id |
Subject |
Object |
Predicate |
Lexical cue |
T44 |
0-32 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Effect of screening on detection |
T45 |
33-88 |
Sentence |
denotes |
For the baseline scenario we estimated that 44 (95% CI: |
T46 |
89-176 |
Sentence |
denotes |
33–56) of 100 infected travellers would be detected by exit screening, no case (95% CI: |
T47 |
177-240 |
Sentence |
denotes |
0–3) would develop severe symptoms during travel, nine (95% CI: |
T48 |
241-331 |
Sentence |
denotes |
2–16) additional cases would be detected by entry screening, and the remaining 46 (95% CI: |
T49 |
332-361 |
Sentence |
denotes |
36–58) would not be detected. |
T50 |
362-472 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The effectiveness of entry screening is largely dependent on the effectiveness of the exit screening in place. |
T51 |
473-541 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Under baseline assumptions, entry screening could detect 53 (95% CI: |
T52 |
542-619 |
Sentence |
denotes |
35–72) instead of nine infected travellers if no exit screening was in place. |
T53 |
620-786 |
Sentence |
denotes |
However, the probability of developing symptoms during the flight increases with flight time and hence exit screening is more effective for longer flights (Figure 3). |
T54 |
787-956 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Figure 3 Probability of detecting travellers infected with novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) at airport entry screening by travel duration and sensitivity of exit screening |
T55 |
957-1005 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Each cell is a mean of 10,000 model simulations. |
T56 |
1006-1170 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Other parameters (incubation period, symptom onset to hospitalisation period, and proportion of asymptomatic infections) were fixed at baseline assumptions (Table). |
T57 |
1171-1263 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Intervals are probabilities of detection, binned at increments of 10% (0–10%, 10–20%, etc.). |
T58 |
1264-1470 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Syndromic screening designed to prevent infected and potentially infectious cases entering a country undetected is highly vulnerable to the proportion of asymptomatic infections and long incubation periods. |
T59 |
1471-1861 |
Sentence |
denotes |
If our baseline scenario is modified to have 0% asymptomatic 2019-nCoV infections and 100% sensitivity of entry screening, the incubation period will need to be around 10-fold shorter than the period from symptom onset to severe disease (e.g. hospitalisation) in order to detect more than 90% of infected travellers that would not otherwise report illness at either exit or entry screening. |