Id |
Subject |
Object |
Predicate |
Lexical cue |
T1 |
0-144 |
DRI_Approach |
denotes |
The effectiveness of quarantine and isolation determine the trend of the COVID-19 epidemics in the final phase of the current outbreak in China. |
T2 |
145-313 |
DRI_Background |
denotes |
OBJECTIVES: Since January 23rd 2020, stringent measures for controlling the novel coronavirus epidemics have been gradually enforced and strengthened in mainland China. |
T3 |
314-369 |
DRI_Background |
denotes |
The detection and diagnosis have been improved as well. |
T4 |
370-474 |
DRI_Challenge |
denotes |
However, the daily reported cases staying in a high level make the epidemics trend prediction difficult. |
T5 |
475-779 |
DRI_Background |
denotes |
METHODS: Since the traditional SEIR model does not evaluate the effectiveness of control strategies, a novel model in line with the current epidemics process and control measures was proposed, utilizing multisource datasets including cumulative number of reported, death, quarantined and suspected cases. |
T6 |
780-884 |
DRI_Challenge |
denotes |
RESULTS: Results show that the trend of the epidemics mainly depends on quarantined and suspected cases. |
T7 |
885-1074 |
DRI_Outcome |
denotes |
The predicted cumulative numbers of quarantined and suspected cases nearly reached static states and their inflection points have already been achieved, with the epidemics peak coming soon. |
T8 |
1075-1244 |
DRI_Outcome |
denotes |
The estimated effective reproduction numbers using model-free and model-based methods are decreasing, as well as new infections, while new reported cases are increasing. |
T9 |
1245-1356 |
DRI_Background |
denotes |
Most infected cases have been quarantined or put in suspected class, which has been ignored in existing models. |
T10 |
1357-1571 |
DRI_Challenge |
denotes |
CONCLUSIONS: The uncertainty analyses reveal that the epidemics is still uncertain and it is important to continue enhancing the quarantine and isolation strategy and improving the detection rate in mainland China. |