| Id |
Subject |
Object |
Predicate |
Lexical cue |
| T98 |
0-65 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Table 1 Parameter estimates used in the model and their sources. |
| T99 |
66-171 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The distributions of unknown parameters are shown in online supplemental figure S1A for the best 100 fits |
| T100 |
172-238 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Symbol Description Uniform prior (min and max) or point estimate |
| T101 |
239-304 |
Sentence |
denotes |
1 / η Duration of the non-infectious exposure period 5.1 days41 |
| T102 |
305-398 |
Sentence |
denotes |
δ Percentage of infections which become symptomatic 82.1%42; vary between 73.15% and 91.05% |
| T103 |
399-502 |
Sentence |
denotes |
1 / μ Duration of symptoms while not hospitalised (independent of outcome) Vary between 2 and 14 days |
| T104 |
503-592 |
Sentence |
denotes |
1 / ρ Duration of stay in acute bed (independent of outcome) Vary between 2 and 14 days |
| T105 |
593-795 |
Sentence |
denotes |
γ g Percentage of symptomatic cases which will require hospitalisation 0–4=0.00%, 5–17=0.0408%, 18–29=1.04%,30–39=2.04%–7.00%, 40–49=2.53%–8.68%,50–59=4.86%–16.7%, 60–69=7.01%–24.0%,70+=9.87%–37.6%16 |
| T106 |
796-867 |
Sentence |
denotes |
1 / ψ Duration of stay in IC bed (independent of outcome) 3–11 days43 |
| T107 |
868-961 |
Sentence |
denotes |
ϵ Percentage of those requiring hospitalisation who will require IC Vary between 0% and 30% |
| T108 |
962-1111 |
Sentence |
denotes |
ω g Percentage of those requiring IC who will die 0–4=0.00%, 5–17=0.00%, 18–29=18.1%,30–39=18.1%, 40–49=24.7%,50–59=39.3%, 60–69=53.9%,70+=65.3%43 |
| T109 |
1112-1206 |
Sentence |
denotes |
κ Percentage of those requiring acute beds (but not IC) who will die Vary between 5% and 35% |
| T110 |
1207-1291 |
Sentence |
denotes |
school Percentage of 0–18 year-olds attending school after 23 March 2020 Assume 5% |
| T111 |
1292-1411 |
Sentence |
denotes |
distancing Percentage reduction in contact rates due to social distancing after 15 March 2020 Vary between 0% and 50% |
| T112 |
1412-1515 |
Sentence |
denotes |
lockdown Percentage reduction in contact rates due to lockdown after 23 March 2020 Retail/recreation: |
| T113 |
1516-1619 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Bristol 86%, Bath 90%, Plymouth 85%, Gloucs 84%, Somerset 82%, Devon 85%, Dorset 84%44Transit stations: |
| T114 |
1620-1730 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Bristol 78%, Bath 71%, Plymouth 65%, Gloucs 69%, Somerset 67%, Devon 66%, Dorset 63%44Vary between 63% and 90% |
| T115 |
1731-1789 |
Sentence |
denotes |
R 0 Initial reproductive number of COVID-19 1.63–3.9524 |
| T116 |
1790-1911 |
Sentence |
denotes |
endphase Time taken to fully adjust (across the population, on average) to new interventions Vary between 1 and 31 days |
| T117 |
1912-1931 |
Sentence |
denotes |
IC, intensive care. |
