Id |
Subject |
Object |
Predicate |
Lexical cue |
T94 |
0-23 |
Sentence |
denotes |
10-days ahead forecasts |
T95 |
24-209 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The 10 day ahead forecasts generated on February 9, 2020 from the three models estimate between 36,854 and 37,230 cumulative cases, on average, in Hubei by February 19, 2020 (Fig. 2 a). |
T96 |
210-370 |
Sentence |
denotes |
For other provinces, the latest 10 day ahead forecasts predict average cumulative case counts between 11,549 and 13,069 cases across the three models (Fig. 2b). |
T97 |
371-537 |
Sentence |
denotes |
These estimates correspond with an additional 9754–10,130 cases in Hubei and an additional 1360–2880 cases reported in other provinces on average in the next 10 days. |
T98 |
538-701 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Fig. 2 Forecasting results for 10-days ahead estimates, generated daily from February 5–9, 2020, of cumulative reported cases in Hubei (a) and other provinces (b). |
T99 |
702-823 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The mean case estimate is represented by the dots, while the lines represent the 95% prediction intervals for each model. |
T100 |
824-1076 |
Sentence |
denotes |
10 day ahead forecasts of case counts in Hubei generated on February 5th show significantly different results between the GLM and Richards versus the sub-epidemic model, with the sub-epidemic model predicting significantly higher case counts (Fig. 2a). |
T101 |
1077-1277 |
Sentence |
denotes |
For forecasts generated after February 5th, the prediction intervals of the three models are comparable, with the GLM intervals having the lowest uncertainty, followed by the Richards model (Fig. 2a). |
T102 |
1278-1396 |
Sentence |
denotes |
For other provinces, the sub-epidemic model yields significantly wider prediction intervals than the other two models. |
T103 |
1397-1591 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Like the 5 day ahead forecasts, the 10 day ahead prediction intervals become increasingly narrow for Hubei when including more data, but uncertainty remains relatively stable in other provinces. |