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{"target":"https://pubannotation.org/docs/sourcedb/PMC/sourceid/7001239","sourcedb":"PMC","sourceid":"7001239","source_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/7001239","text":"In order to reach between 1,000 and 9,700 infected cases by 18 January 2020, the early human-to-human transmission of 2019-nCoV was characterised by values of R0 around 2.2 (median value, with 90% high density interval: 1.4–3.8) (Figure 1). The observed data at this point are compatible with a large range of values for the dispersion parameter k (median: 0.54, 90% high density interval: 0.014–6.95). However, our simulations suggest that very low values of k are less likely. These estimates incorporate the uncertainty about the total epidemic size on 18 January 2020 and about the date and scale of the initial zoonotic event (Figure 2).","tracks":[{"project":"LitCovid-PubTator","denotations":[{"id":"71","span":{"begin":87,"end":92},"obj":"Species"},{"id":"72","span":{"begin":96,"end":101},"obj":"Species"},{"id":"73","span":{"begin":118,"end":127},"obj":"Species"},{"id":"74","span":{"begin":42,"end":50},"obj":"Disease"},{"id":"75","span":{"begin":616,"end":624},"obj":"Disease"}],"attributes":[{"id":"A71","pred":"tao:has_database_id","subj":"71","obj":"Tax:9606"},{"id":"A72","pred":"tao:has_database_id","subj":"72","obj":"Tax:9606"},{"id":"A73","pred":"tao:has_database_id","subj":"73","obj":"Tax:2697049"},{"id":"A74","pred":"tao:has_database_id","subj":"74","obj":"MESH:D007239"},{"id":"A75","pred":"tao:has_database_id","subj":"75","obj":"MESH:D015047"},{"subj":"71","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PubTator"},{"subj":"72","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PubTator"},{"subj":"73","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PubTator"},{"subj":"74","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PubTator"},{"subj":"75","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PubTator"}],"namespaces":[{"prefix":"Tax","uri":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/taxonomy/"},{"prefix":"MESH","uri":"https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/"},{"prefix":"Gene","uri":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/gene/"},{"prefix":"CVCL","uri":"https://web.expasy.org/cellosaurus/CVCL_"}]},{"project":"LitCovid-PD-UBERON","denotations":[{"id":"T2","span":{"begin":595,"end":600},"obj":"Body_part"}],"attributes":[{"id":"A2","pred":"uberon_id","subj":"T2","obj":"http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/UBERON_0002542"},{"subj":"T2","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PD-UBERON"}]},{"project":"LitCovid-PD-CLO","denotations":[{"id":"T56","span":{"begin":60,"end":62},"obj":"http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/CLO_0050510"},{"id":"T57","span":{"begin":87,"end":92},"obj":"http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/NCBITaxon_9606"},{"id":"T58","span":{"begin":96,"end":101},"obj":"http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/NCBITaxon_9606"},{"id":"T59","span":{"begin":293,"end":294},"obj":"http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/CLO_0001020"},{"id":"T60","span":{"begin":556,"end":558},"obj":"http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/CLO_0050510"}],"attributes":[{"subj":"T56","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PD-CLO"},{"subj":"T57","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PD-CLO"},{"subj":"T58","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PD-CLO"},{"subj":"T59","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PD-CLO"},{"subj":"T60","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PD-CLO"}]},{"project":"LitCovid-sentences","denotations":[{"id":"T46","span":{"begin":0,"end":219},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T47","span":{"begin":220,"end":240},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T48","span":{"begin":241,"end":356},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T49","span":{"begin":357,"end":389},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T50","span":{"begin":390,"end":402},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T51","span":{"begin":403,"end":478},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T52","span":{"begin":479,"end":642},"obj":"Sentence"}],"namespaces":[{"prefix":"_base","uri":"http://pubannotation.org/ontology/tao.owl#"}],"attributes":[{"subj":"T46","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T47","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T48","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T49","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T50","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T51","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T52","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"}]}],"config":{"attribute types":[{"pred":"source","value type":"selection","values":[{"id":"LitCovid-PubTator","color":"#ec93aa","default":true},{"id":"LitCovid-PD-UBERON","color":"#93c4ec"},{"id":"LitCovid-PD-CLO","color":"#deec93"},{"id":"LitCovid-sentences","color":"#e093ec"}]}]}}