PMC:7797241 / 1310-2225 JSONTXT

{"target":"https://pubannotation.org/docs/sourcedb/PMC/sourceid/7797241","sourcedb":"PMC","sourceid":"7797241","source_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/7797241","text":"89 048 (95% CrI 141 580 to 277 955) had been infected with the virus (either asymptomatically or symptomatically), but recovered, which is 3.4% (95% CrI 2.5% to 5.0%) of the SW population. The total number of patients in acute and IC beds in the SW on 11 May 2020 was predicted to be 701 (95% CrI 169 to 1543) and 110 (95% CrI 8 to 464), respectively. The R value in SW was predicted to be 2.6 (95% CrI 2.0 to 3.2) prior to any interventions, with social distancing reducing this to 2.3 (95% CrI 1.8 to 2.9) and lockdown/school closures further reducing the R value to 0.6 (95% CrI 0.5 to 0.7).\n\nConclusions\nThe developed model has proved a valuable asset for regional healthcare services. The model will be used further in the SW as the pandemic evolves, and—as open-source software—is portable to healthcare systems in other geographies.\n\nStrengths and limitations of this study\nOpen-source modelling tool availab","divisions":[{"label":"sec","span":{"begin":596,"end":839}},{"label":"title","span":{"begin":596,"end":607}},{"label":"p","span":{"begin":608,"end":839}},{"label":"caption","span":{"begin":841,"end":880}},{"label":"title","span":{"begin":841,"end":880}}],"tracks":[{"project":"LitCovid-PubTator","denotations":[{"id":"29","span":{"begin":149,"end":154},"obj":"Gene"},{"id":"30","span":{"begin":492,"end":497},"obj":"Gene"},{"id":"31","span":{"begin":399,"end":404},"obj":"Gene"},{"id":"32","span":{"begin":209,"end":217},"obj":"Species"},{"id":"33","span":{"begin":45,"end":53},"obj":"Disease"}],"attributes":[{"id":"A29","pred":"tao:has_database_id","subj":"29","obj":"Gene:163126"},{"id":"A30","pred":"tao:has_database_id","subj":"30","obj":"Gene:23741"},{"id":"A31","pred":"tao:has_database_id","subj":"31","obj":"Gene:163126"},{"id":"A32","pred":"tao:has_database_id","subj":"32","obj":"Tax:9606"},{"id":"A33","pred":"tao:has_database_id","subj":"33","obj":"MESH:D007239"},{"subj":"29","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PubTator"},{"subj":"30","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PubTator"},{"subj":"31","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PubTator"},{"subj":"32","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PubTator"},{"subj":"33","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PubTator"}],"namespaces":[{"prefix":"Tax","uri":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/taxonomy/"},{"prefix":"MESH","uri":"https://id.nlm.nih.gov/mesh/"},{"prefix":"Gene","uri":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/gene/"},{"prefix":"CVCL","uri":"https://web.expasy.org/cellosaurus/CVCL_"}]},{"project":"LitCovid-sentences","denotations":[{"id":"T16","span":{"begin":189,"end":351},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T17","span":{"begin":352,"end":594},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T18","span":{"begin":596,"end":607},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T19","span":{"begin":608,"end":689},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T20","span":{"begin":690,"end":839},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T21","span":{"begin":841,"end":880},"obj":"Sentence"}],"namespaces":[{"prefix":"_base","uri":"http://pubannotation.org/ontology/tao.owl#"}],"attributes":[{"subj":"T16","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T17","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T18","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T19","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T20","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T21","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"}]}],"config":{"attribute types":[{"pred":"source","value type":"selection","values":[{"id":"LitCovid-PubTator","color":"#e6ec93","default":true},{"id":"LitCovid-sentences","color":"#d893ec"}]}]}}