PMC:7210464 / 87247-90207 JSONTXT

{"target":"http://pubannotation.org/docs/sourcedb/PMC/sourceid/7210464","sourcedb":"PMC","sourceid":"7210464","source_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/7210464","text":"Table 12 Within- and between-city transmission of COVID-19, revised case counts in Hubei Province\nJan 19–Feb 29 Jan 19–Feb 1 Feb 2–Feb 29\n(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)\nOLS IV OLS IV OLS IV\nModel A: lagged variables are averages over the preceding first and second week separately\nAverage # of new cases, 1-week lag\nOwn city 0.747*** 0.840*** 0.939*** 2.456*** 0.790*** 1.199***\n(0.0182) (0.0431) (0.102) (0.638) (0.0211) (0.0904)\nOther cities 0.00631** 0.0124 0.0889 0.0412 − 0.00333 − 0.0328\nwt. = inv. dist. (0.00289) (0.00897) (0.0714) (0.0787) (0.00601) (0.0230)\nWuhan 0.0331*** 0.0277 − 0.879 − 0.957 0.0543* 0.0840\nwt. = inv. dist. (0.0116) (0.0284) (0.745) (0.955) (0.0271) (0.0684)\nWuhan 0.00365*** 0.00408*** 0.00462*** 0.00471*** − 0.000882 − 0.00880***\nwt. = pop. flow (0.000282) (0.000287) (0.000326) (0.000696) (0.000797) (0.00252)\nAverage # of new cases, 2-week lag\nOwn city − 0.519*** − 0.673*** 2.558 − 1.633 − 0.286*** − 0.141\n(0.0138) (0.0532) (2.350) (2.951) (0.0361) (0.0899)\nOther cities − 0.00466 − 0.0208 − 0.361 − 0.0404 − 0.00291 − 0.0235**\nwt. = inv. dist. (0.00350) (0.0143) (0.371) (0.496) (0.00566) (0.0113)\nWuhan − 0.0914* 0.0308 3.053 3.031 − 0.154 0.0110\nwt. = inv. dist. (0.0465) (0.0438) (2.834) (3.559) (0.0965) (0.0244)\nWuhan 0.00827*** 0.00807*** 0.00711*** − 0.00632 0.0119*** 0.0112***\nwt. = pop. flow (0.000264) (0.000185) (0.00213) (0.00741) (0.000523) (0.000627)\nModel B: lagged variables are averages over the preceding 2 weeks\nOwn city 0.235*** 0.983*** 1.564*** 2.992*** 0.391*** 0.725***\n(0.0355) (0.158) (0.174) (0.892) (0.0114) (0.101)\nOther cities 0.00812 − 0.0925* 0.0414 0.0704 0.0181 − 0.00494\nwt. = inv. dist. (0.00899) (0.0480) (0.0305) (0.0523) (0.0172) (0.0228)\nWuhan − 0.172* − 0.114** − 0.309 − 0.608 − 0.262 − 0.299*\nwt. = inv. dist. (0.101) (0.0472) (0.251) (0.460) (0.161) (0.169)\nWuhan 0.0133*** 0.0107*** 0.00779*** 0.00316 0.0152*** 0.0143***\nwt. = pop. flow (0.000226) (0.000509) (0.000518) (0.00276) (0.000155) (0.000447)\nObservations 12,768 12,768 4,256 4,256 8,512 8,512\nNumber of cities 304 304 304 304 304 304\nWeather controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes\nCity FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes\nDate FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes\nThe dependent variable is the number of daily new cases. The endogenous explanatory variables include the average numbers of new confirmed cases in the own city and nearby cities in the preceding first and second weeks (model A) and averages in the preceding 14 days (model B). Weekly averages of daily maximum temperature, precipitation, wind speed, the interaction between precipitation and wind speed, and the inverse log distance weighted sum of these variables in other cities, during the preceding third and fourth weeks, are used as instrumental variables in the IV regressions. Weather controls include contemporaneous weather variables in the preceding first and second weeks. Standard errors in parentheses are clustered by provinces. *** p \u003c 0.01, ** p \u003c 0.05, * p 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