Id |
Subject |
Object |
Predicate |
Lexical cue |
T653 |
0-172 |
Sentence |
denotes |
In Fig. 7, we report the differences between the predicted number of daily new cases in the counterfactual scenarios and the actual data, for cities outside Hubei province. |
T654 |
173-288 |
Sentence |
denotes |
We also report the predicted cumulative effect in each scenario at the bottom of the corresponding panel in Fig. 7. |
T655 |
289-491 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Had the transmission rates in cities outside Hubei province increased to the level observed in late January, by February 29, there would be 1,408,479 (95% CI, 815,585∼2,001,373) more cases (scenario D). |
T656 |
492-558 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Assuming a fatality rate of 4%, there would be 56,339 more deaths. |
T657 |
559-646 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The magnitude of the effect from Wuhan lockdown and local NPIs is considerably smaller. |
T658 |
647-790 |
Sentence |
denotes |
As a result of Wuhan lockdown, 31,071 (95% CI, 8296∼53,845) fewer cases would be reported for cities outside Hubei by February 29 (scenario C). |
T659 |
791-1029 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Closed management of communities and family outdoor restrictions would reduce the number of cases by 3803 (95% CI, 1142∼6465; or 15.78 per city with the policy) and 2703 (95% CI, 654∼4751; or 21.98 per city with the policy), respectively. |
T660 |
1030-1220 |
Sentence |
denotes |
These estimates, combined with additional assumptions on the value of statistical life, lost time from work, etc., may contribute to cost-benefit analyses of relevant public health measures. |
T661 |
1221-1262 |
Sentence |
denotes |
Fig. 7 Counterfactual policy simulations. |
T662 |
1263-1489 |
Sentence |
denotes |
This figure displays the daily differences between the total predicted number and the actual number of daily new COVID-19 cases for each of the four counterfactual scenarios for cities outside Hubei province in mainland China. |
T663 |
1490-1675 |
Sentence |
denotes |
The spike on February 12 in scenario C is due to a sharp increase in daily case counts in Wuhan resulting from changes in case definitions in Hubei province (see Appendix B for details) |