PMC:7175914 / 14863-15684
Annnotations
{"target":"http://pubannotation.org/docs/sourcedb/PMC/sourceid/7175914","sourcedb":"PMC","sourceid":"7175914","source_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/7175914","text":"In order to further explore the forecasting accuracy of our model, we have been compared the forecasting result with the observed data prolonged 11 days from Feb 24, 2020 to Mar 4, 2020. The absolute values of RE (relative error) of the cumulative confirmed cases are smaller than 1% (Table 3 ). The corresponding figures also display that our model can capture the temporal variations in a relative longer period (see SFigure 1 in the supplementary information).\nTable 3 Evaluation results of the prediction in Guangdong province.\nRE (%) 24/2 25/2 26/2 27/2 28/2 29/2 1/3 2/3 3/3 4/3\nCumulative confirmed cases −2.30 −0.41 0.12 0.20 0.25 0.37 0.40 0.49 0.58 0.66\nConfirmed cases −14.98 −19.21 −24.22 −26.74 −27.64 −30.81 −36.19 −35.94 −33.52 −34.68\nRecovered cases 9.60 11.35 13.09 12.57 10.88 10.67 11.35 9.35 7.08 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