PMC:7116472 / 836-1842
Annnotations
{"target":"https://pubannotation.org/docs/sourcedb/PMC/sourceid/7116472","sourcedb":"PMC","sourceid":"7116472","source_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/7116472","text":"cond cohort of patients recruited after model development between 21 May and 29 June 2020.\n\nParticipants\nAdults (age ≥18 years) admitted to hospital with covid-19 at least four weeks before final data extraction.\n\nMain Outcome Measure\nIn-hospital mortality.\n\nResults\n35 463 patients were included in the derivation dataset (mortality rate 32.2%) and 22 361 in the validation dataset (mortality rate 30.1%). The final 4C Mortality Score included eight variables readily available at initial hospital assessment: age, sex, number of comorbidities, respiratory rate, peripheral oxygen saturation, level of consciousness, urea level, and C reactive protein (score range 0-21 points). The 4C Score showed high discrimination for mortality (derivation cohort: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.79, 95% confidence interval 0.78 to 0.79; validation cohort: 0.77, 0.76 to 0.77) with excellent calibration (validation: calibration-in-the-large=0, slope=1.0). 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