PMC:7033348 / 826-1519 JSONTXT

{"target":"https://pubannotation.org/docs/sourcedb/PMC/sourceid/7033348","sourcedb":"PMC","sourceid":"7033348","source_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/7033348","text":"We use phenomenological models that have been validated during previous outbreaks to generate and assess short-term forecasts of the cumulative number of confirmed reported cases in Hubei province, the epicenter of the epidemic, and for the overall trajectory in China, excluding the province of Hubei. We collect daily reported cumulative confirmed cases for the 2019-nCoV outbreak for each Chinese province from the National Health Commission of China. Here, we provide 5, 10, and 15 day forecasts for five consecutive days, February 5th through February 9th, with quantified uncertainty based on a generalized logistic growth model, the Richards growth model, and a sub-epidemic wave model.","tracks":[{"project":"LitCovid-PD-CLO","denotations":[{"id":"T8","span":{"begin":599,"end":600},"obj":"http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/CLO_0001020"},{"id":"T9","span":{"begin":667,"end":668},"obj":"http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/CLO_0001020"}],"attributes":[{"subj":"T8","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PD-CLO"},{"subj":"T9","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PD-CLO"}]},{"project":"LitCovid-PD-GO-BP","denotations":[{"id":"T2","span":{"begin":622,"end":628},"obj":"http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/GO_0040007"},{"id":"T3","span":{"begin":649,"end":655},"obj":"http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/GO_0040007"}],"attributes":[{"subj":"T2","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PD-GO-BP"},{"subj":"T3","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PD-GO-BP"}]},{"project":"LitCovid-sentences","denotations":[{"id":"T7","span":{"begin":0,"end":302},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T8","span":{"begin":303,"end":454},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T9","span":{"begin":455,"end":693},"obj":"Sentence"}],"namespaces":[{"prefix":"_base","uri":"http://pubannotation.org/ontology/tao.owl#"}],"attributes":[{"subj":"T7","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T8","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T9","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"}]}],"config":{"attribute types":[{"pred":"source","value type":"selection","values":[{"id":"LitCovid-PD-CLO","color":"#ec93bb","default":true},{"id":"LitCovid-PD-GO-BP","color":"#93d5ec"},{"id":"LitCovid-sentences","color":"#ece893"}]}]}}