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{"target":"https://pubannotation.org/docs/sourcedb/PMC/sourceid/7033348","sourcedb":"PMC","sourceid":"7033348","source_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/7033348","text":"In this emerging epidemic, the epidemiological data is limited, and the epidemiological parameters needed to calibrate elaborate mechanistic transmission models are not yet fully elucidated. Real-time short-term forecasts must be based on dynamic phenomenological models that have been validated during previous outbreaks (Chowell et al., 2016; Pell, Kuang, Viboud, \u0026 Chowell, 2018)(Bürger, Chowell, \u0026 Lara-Díıaz, 2019). We employ several dynamic models to generate and assess 5, 10, and 15 day ahead forecasts of the cumulative number of confirmed cases in Hubei province, the epicenter of the epidemic, and the overall trajectory of the epidemic in China excluding the province of Hubei.","tracks":[{"project":"LitCovid-PD-CLO","denotations":[{"id":"T35","span":{"begin":377,"end":381},"obj":"http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/CLO_0001185"}],"attributes":[{"subj":"T35","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-PD-CLO"}]},{"project":"LitCovid-sentences","denotations":[{"id":"T34","span":{"begin":0,"end":190},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T35","span":{"begin":191,"end":420},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T36","span":{"begin":421,"end":689},"obj":"Sentence"}],"namespaces":[{"prefix":"_base","uri":"http://pubannotation.org/ontology/tao.owl#"}],"attributes":[{"subj":"T34","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T35","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"},{"subj":"T36","pred":"source","obj":"LitCovid-sentences"}]},{"project":"2_test","denotations":[{"id":"32110742-27913131-47437627","span":{"begin":377,"end":381},"obj":"27913131"},{"id":"32110742-31499661-47437628","span":{"begin":414,"end":418},"obj":"31499661"},{"id":"T52035","span":{"begin":377,"end":381},"obj":"27913131"},{"id":"T75543","span":{"begin":414,"end":418},"obj":"31499661"}],"attributes":[{"subj":"32110742-27913131-47437627","pred":"source","obj":"2_test"},{"subj":"32110742-31499661-47437628","pred":"source","obj":"2_test"},{"subj":"T52035","pred":"source","obj":"2_test"},{"subj":"T75543","pred":"source","obj":"2_test"}]}],"config":{"attribute types":[{"pred":"source","value type":"selection","values":[{"id":"LitCovid-PD-CLO","color":"#ecea93","default":true},{"id":"LitCovid-sentences","color":"#d093ec"},{"id":"2_test","color":"#93ecb6"}]}]}}