PMC:7033348 / 13370-14329 JSONTXT

{"project":"LitCovid-PD-CLO","denotations":[{"id":"T60","span":{"begin":633,"end":636},"obj":"http://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/CLO_0051582"}],"text":"Comparing the 5-day ahead forecasts generated daily on February 5–9, 2020, the GLM and Richards models yield comparable prediction intervals in Hubei, while the sub-epidemic model yields wider intervals than the other models. Also, 5 day ahead forecasts from the sub-epidemic model on February 5th and 6th predict significantly higher case counts in Hubei compared to forecasts generated on February 7th and beyond (Fig. 1a). For other provinces, the GLM and Richards model yield intervals of similar widths, but the GLM predicts higher case counts than the Richards model across all dates (Fig. 1b). Further, the sub-epidemic model has significantly wider prediction intervals compared to the other models for all forecasts for other provinces. While the uncertainty of the predictions decreases as more data became available in Hubei, the uncertainty of the predictions for other provinces remain relatively stable, compared to forecasts from earlier dates."}

{"project":"LitCovid-sentences","denotations":[{"id":"T89","span":{"begin":0,"end":225},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T90","span":{"begin":226,"end":425},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T91","span":{"begin":426,"end":600},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T92","span":{"begin":601,"end":745},"obj":"Sentence"},{"id":"T93","span":{"begin":746,"end":959},"obj":"Sentence"}],"namespaces":[{"prefix":"_base","uri":"http://pubannotation.org/ontology/tao.owl#"}],"text":"Comparing the 5-day ahead forecasts generated daily on February 5–9, 2020, the GLM and Richards models yield comparable prediction intervals in Hubei, while the sub-epidemic model yields wider intervals than the other models. Also, 5 day ahead forecasts from the sub-epidemic model on February 5th and 6th predict significantly higher case counts in Hubei compared to forecasts generated on February 7th and beyond (Fig. 1a). For other provinces, the GLM and Richards model yield intervals of similar widths, but the GLM predicts higher case counts than the Richards model across all dates (Fig. 1b). Further, the sub-epidemic model has significantly wider prediction intervals compared to the other models for all forecasts for other provinces. While the uncertainty of the predictions decreases as more data became available in Hubei, the uncertainty of the predictions for other provinces remain relatively stable, compared to forecasts from earlier dates."}