PMC:7060038 / 16047-18684 JSONTXT 10 Projects

Annnotations TAB TSV DIC JSON TextAE

Id Subject Object Predicate Lexical cue
T85 0-101 Sentence denotes Parameter Best estimate (Used in Figure 2) Plausible range (Used in Figure 3) References and notes
T86 102-147 Sentence denotes Mean incubation period 5.5 days Sensitivity:
T87 148-362 Sentence denotes 4.5 or 6.5 days 4.5–6.5 days 3–6 days, n = 4 (Chan et al., 2020)* 5.2 (4.1–7.0) days, n < 425 (Li et al., 2020)† 5.2 (4.4–6.0) days, n = 101 (Lauer et al., 2020)† 6.5 (5.6–7.9) days, n = 88 (Backer et al., 2020)†
T88 363-463 Sentence denotes Incubation period distribution Gamma distribution with mean as above, and standard deviation = 2.25
T89 464-533 Sentence denotes Percent of cases subclinical (No fever or cough) Best case scenario:
T90 534-558 Sentence denotes 5% Middle case scenario:
T91 559-583 Sentence denotes 25% Worst case scenario:
T92 584-603 Sentence denotes 50% Clinical data:
T93 604-1091 Sentence denotes 83% fever, 67% cough, n = 6 (Chan et al., 2020) 83% fever, 82% cough, n = 99 (Chen et al., 2020) 98% fever, 76% cough, n = 41 (Huang et al., 2020) 43.8% fever at hospital admission, 88.7% fever during hospitalization, n = 1099 (Guan et al., 2020) Active monitoring after repatriation flights or on cruise ships: % asymptomatic at diagnosis 31.2% (111/355) (Japan Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare, 2020) 65.2% (5 of 8) (Nishiura et al., 2020) 70.0% (7 of 10) (Dorigatti et al., 2020)
T94 1092-1135 Sentence denotes R0 No effect in individual-level analysis.
T95 1137-1495 Sentence denotes 1.5–4.0 2.2 (1.4–3.8) (Riou and Althaus, 2020) 2.2 (1.4–3.9) (Li et al., 2020) 2.6 (1.5–3.5) (Imai et al., 2020) 2.7 (2.5–2.9) (Wu et al., 2020) 4.5 (4.4-4.6) (Liu et al., 2020) 3.8 (3.6-4.0) (Read et al., 2020) 4.08 (3.37–4.77) (Cao et al., 2020) 4.7 (2.8–7.6) (Sanche et al., 2020) 6.3 (3.3-11.3) (Sanche et al., 2020) 6.47 (5.71–7.23) (Tang et al., 2020)
T96 1496-1714 Sentence denotes Percent of travellers aware of exposure risk 20% 5–40% We assume a low percentage, as no specific risk factors have been identified, and known times or sources of exposure are rarely reported in existing line lists.
T97 1715-1890 Sentence denotes Sensitivity of infrared thermal scanners for fever 70% 60–90% Most studies estimated sensitivity between 60–88% (Bitar et al., 2009; Priest et al., 2011; Tay et al., 2015).
T98 1891-1955 Sentence denotes But a handful of studies estimated very low sensitivity (4–30%).
T99 1956-2052 Sentence denotes In general, sensitivity depended on the device used, body area targeted and ambient temperature.
T100 2053-2221 Sentence denotes Probability that travellers self-report exposure risk 25% 5–25% 25% is an upper-bound estimate based on outcomes of past screening initiatives. (Gostic et al., 2015)
T101 2222-2354 Sentence denotes Time from symptom onset to patient isolation (After which we assume travel is not possible) No effect in individual-level analysis.
T102 2356-2637 Sentence denotes 3–7 days Median 7 days from onset to hospitalization (n = 6) (Chan et al., 2020) Mean 2.9 days onset to patient isolation (n = 164) (Liu et al., 2020) Median 7 days from onset to hospitalization (n = 41) (Huang et al., 2020) As awareness increases, times to isolation may decline.