The primary strength of this study is that we have developed generalisable and efficient modelling code incorporating disease transmission, interventions and hospital bed demand which can be adapted for use in other regional or national scenarios, with the model available on GitHub for open review and use (github.com/rdbooton/bricovmod). We have worked closely with the NHS and at CCG level to ensure the model captures key clinical features of disease management in SW hospitals and provides output data in a format relevant to support local planning. We combined local clinical expertise with detailed literature searches to ensure reasonable parameter ranges and assumptions in the presence of high levels of parameter uncertainty.