in figure 1) is therefore described by the following differential equations: Susceptible Sg (1a) d S g d t = − λ g S g Exposed Eg (1b) d E g d t = λ g S g − η E g Asymptomatic Ag (1c) d A g d t = η ( 1 − δ ) E g − μ A g Infectious Ig (1d) d I g d t = η δ E g − μ I g Hospitalised in acute bed Hg (1e) d H g d t = μ γ g I g −