We estimated the fraction of normal contact rate in five additional jurisdictions as of May 7, 2020 (Fig 5), and give numerical results as the median (and 90% CI) of the “contact ratio”: the ratio of the fraction of normal contacts to the threshold (above which prevalence increases) for each jurisdiction. We found that while New York had a high peak in reported cases, overall control there was strong as of May 7 and there may have been room to relax distancing measures while remaining below the threshold above which cases would be expected to increase, since the contact ratio is 0.60 (0.43–0.74). We estimated contact ratios of 0.86 (0.76–0.96) for Florida and 0.84 (0.79–0.90) for Washington as of May 7. These are not far below 1.0, and so any re-opening or relaxation of distancing measures would be expected to result in rising case numbers. In contrast, while some areas in California experienced strong distancing and mobility data suggest movement on par with Florida, New York, and Washington (Fig 5F), overall case counts in California had not declined as of May 7, and our model estimated that contacts were exceeding the critical threshold on average (contact ratio of 1.15 [1.07–1.23]). In contrast, New Zealand had extremely effective control measures and we estimated that nearly all contacts were removed among those distancing as of May 6, 2020, with a contact ratio of 0.22 (0.11–0.34). This left considerable room for re-opening (in concert with careful border measures and continued contact tracing and case finding).