Results show that R𝑒𝑓𝑓 has likely been below one in each Australian state since early-to-mid March. These estimates are geographically averaged results over large areas and it is possible that R𝑒𝑓𝑓 was much higher than one in a number of localised settings (see Figure 2). The estimated time-varying R𝑒𝑓𝑓 value is based on cases that have been identified as a result of local transmission, whereas imported cases only contribute to the force of infection. Imported and locally acquired cases were assumed to be equally infectious. The method for estimating R𝑒𝑓𝑓 is sensitive to this assumption. Hence, we performed a sensitivity analysis to assess the impact of stepwise reductions in the infectiousness of imported cases on R𝑒𝑓𝑓 as a result of quarantine measures implemented over time (see Figure 2β€”figure supplement 1, Figure 2β€”figure supplement 2, and Figure 2β€”figure supplement 3). The sensitivity analyses suggest that R𝑒𝑓𝑓 may well have dropped below one later than shown in Figure 2.