Different cases Simulation Prediction R * 2 AE MAPE (%) DISO 20/2 21/2 22/2 23/2 RE (%) RE (%) RE (%) RE (%) Cumulative confirmed cases 0.9973 −5.33 2.54 0.06 −0.38 −0.45 −0.37 −0.37 Confirmed cases 0.9898 −2.63 3.86 0.11 2.68 1.51 0.81 7.07 Recovered cases 0.9934 −3.38 43.32 0.17 −2.09 −1.38 −3.75 −10.41