Table 4 AUCmax per reference model, CHIP cohort Reference model LR CART SVM NN RF LR 0.786 0.572 0.607 0.782 0.903 CART 0.562 0.578 0.580 0.500 0.666 SVM 0.584 0.560 0.615 0.616 0.871 NN 0.758 0.564 0.589 0.791 0.856 RF 0.728 0.579 0.594 0.755 0.916 Bold numbers are for model performance when the underlying model was specified according to the modelling technique considered.