Scenarios Total number of patients Total number of deaths Number of treated persons Epidemic period (days)
Baseline 1,087,165 (1,024,014, 1,150,316) 4,354.89 (4,102, 4,608) 0 202.03
1 1,987 (1,549, 2,425) 7.84 (5.98, 9.70) 2,471 (2,089, 2,854) 220.08
2 1,657 (1,230, 2,084) 6.72 (4.95, 8.49) 2,044 (1,670, 2,418) 193.17
3 2,453 (1,850, 3,055) 10.11 (7.54, 12.68) 2,943 (2,419, 3,467) 226.06
4 171 (145, 196) 0.76 (0.53, 0.99) 132 (111, 152) 71.60
5 191 (163, 219) 0.83 (0.57, 1.09) 148 (126, 171) 82.30