Parameter Definitions Estimated mean value Standard deviation Data source
c0 Contact rate at the initial time 14.781 0.904 1
cb Minimum contact rate under the current control strategies 2.9253 0.5235 MCMC
r1 Exponential decreasing rate of contact rate 1.3768 0.283 MCMC
β Probability of transmission per contact 2.1011×10−8 1.1886×10−9 1
q Quarantined rate of exposed individuals 1.2858×10−5 3.1488×10−6 MCMC
σ Transition rate of exposed individuals to the infected class 1/7 – 2
λ Rate at which the quarantined uninfected contacts were released into the wider community 1/14 – 3,4
ϱ Probability of having symptoms among infected individuals 0.86834 0.049227 1
δI0 Initial transition rate of symptomatic infected individuals to the quarantined infected class 0.13266 0.021315 1
1/δIf The shortest period of diagnosis 0.3654 0.1431 MCMC
r2 Exponential decreasing rate of diagnose rate 0.3283 0.0225 MCMC
δq Transition rate of quarantined exposed individuals to the quarantined infected class 0.1259 0.052032 1
γI Recovery rate of symptomatic infected individuals 0.33029 0.052135 1
γA Recovery rate of asymptomatic infected individuals 0.13978 0.034821 1
γH Recovery rate of quarantined infected individuals 0.11624 0.038725 1
α Disease-induced death rate 1.7826×10−5 6.8331×10−6 1